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Christian Eriksen
17'
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Casemiro
52'
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Aaron Wan-Bissaka
58'
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Bruno Fernandes
76'
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Marcus Rashford
82'
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Andre Onana
89'
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Bruno Fernandes
90'+6'
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Taiwo Awoniyi
2'
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Willy Boly
4'
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Serge Aurier
44'
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Morgan Gibbs-White
45'+2'
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Ola Aina
62'
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Joe Worrall
67'
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Cheikhou Kouyate
90'+6'
Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester United Goals
Nottingham Forest Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 68.48%
0-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 18.82%
1-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 12.69%
Head to Head
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Antony
32'
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Diogo Dalot
76'
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Anthony Martial
73'
-
Fred
76'
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Marcus Rashford
6'
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Wout Weghorst
45'
-
Bruno Fernandes
89'
-
Marcus Rashford
19'
-
Anthony Martial
23'
-
Fred
87'
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Alan Rogers
6'
-
Hugo Porfirio
79'
-
Dwight Yorke
2'
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Andy Cole
7'
-
Roy Keane
37'
-
Andy Cole
49'
-
Dwight Yorke
66'
-
Phil Neville
81'
-
Ronny Johnsen
28'
-
Ronny Johnsen
59'
-
Ryan Giggs
62'