Club Friendlies 1
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Jonny Evans
84'
-
Facundo Pellistri
90'+3'
-
Nico Williams
29'
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Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta
39'
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Inigo Lekue
63'
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Aitor Paredes
66'
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Daniel Vivian
83'
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Imanol
84'
Manchester United vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Manchester United
45.93%
▼
(-0.92)
Draw
24.85%
▲
(+0.26)
Athletic Bilbao
29.22%
▲
(+0.65)
Both Teams to Score:
55.68%
▼
(-0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.76%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 2.5
47.23%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 3.5
30.54%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 3.5
69.46%
▲
(+0.72)
Over 4.5
15.04%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 4.5
84.95%
▲
(+0.50)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
79.37%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 0.5
20.62%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 1.5
46.82%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 1.5
53.18%
▲
(+1.13)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5
70.15%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
29.84%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
34.07%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
65.93%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
Manchester United
45.93%
Draw
24.84%
Athletic Bilbao
29.22%
Manchester United
1-0
@
9.72%
▲
(+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.93%
2-1 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.74%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
@
7.44%
▲
(+0.26)
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.22%
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.22%