Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Lens
41.34% ( 0.15)	24.62% ( -0.26)	34.04% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.71% (

1.22)

44.29% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33% (

1.17)

66.67% (

-1.17)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53% (

0.6)

21.47% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5% (

0.91)

54.5% (

-0.91)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

0.64)

25.29% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

0.87)

60.06% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 41.34%

Lens 34.04%

Draw 24.62%

Manchester United	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.34%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.04%