Club Friendlies 1
Aug 5, 2023 12.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Marcus Rashford 48' goal
  • Antony 53' goal
  • Casemiro 59' goal
  • goal Florian Sotoca 23'

Manchester United vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 31, 2023 2.00am
Man Utd 2 - 3 Dortmund

Lens

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Manchester United 41.34% (+0.16)
Draw 24.62% (-0.27)
Lens 34.04% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.67% (+0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.71% (+1.23)
Under 2.5 44.29% (-1.23)
Over 3.5 33.33% (+1.18)
Under 3.5 66.67% (-1.18)
Over 4.5 17.04% (+0.85)
Under 4.5 82.96% (-0.85)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 78.53% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 21.47% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 45.5% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 54.5% (-0.92)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 74.71% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 25.29% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 39.94% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 60.06% (-0.88)

Score analysis

Manchester United 41.34%
Draw 24.62%
Lens 34.04%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.53% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.74% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.27% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.2% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.07% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.43% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.62%
Lens
1-2 @ 7.89% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.62% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 34.04%

Build-up

News