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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Marseille

Lens
2 - 1
Marseille

Fofana (42'), Openda (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Payet (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 0-1 Lens
Tuesday, May 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawMarseille
37.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)27.32% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)35.44% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.88% (0.178 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.35% (0.22 0.22)55.65% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.179 0.18)76.81% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)28.82% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (0.099000000000004 0.1)64.68% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.172 0.17)29.92% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.98% (0.205 0.2)66.02% (-0.205 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Lens 37.23%
    Marseille 35.44%
    Draw 27.31%
LensDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.44%

How you voted: Lens vs Marseille

Lens
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Marseille
18.8%
96
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
gameweek 12
Marseille
0-1
Lens

Kolasinac (14')
Costa (78')
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
gameweek 22
Lens
0-2
Marseille

Danso (20'), Medina (32'), Sotoca (49')
Payet (34' pen.), Bakambu (77')
Peres (71'), Lirola (86')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 8
Marseille
2-3
Lens
Payet (33', 45+2' pen.)
Gueye (6'), Guendouzi (7')
Sotoca (9' pen.), Frankowski (27'), Said (71')
Said (90+2')
Feb 3, 2021 8pm
gameweek 23
Lens
2-2
Marseille
Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')
Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
gameweek 9
Marseille
0-1
Lens

Gueye (55'), Balerdi (62'), Perrin (69'), Khaoui (81'), Cuisance (90+1')
Banza (59')
Haidara (19'), Banza (25'), Medina (55')