Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Seko Fofana 42' goal
  • Lois Openda 60' goal
  • goal Dimitri Payet 88'

Lens vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2023 8.00pm
Toulouse 0 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Lois Openda

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 7.45pm
Marseille 2 - 1 Auxerre
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Alexis Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result

Lens 37.24% (-0.05)
Draw 27.32% (-0.06)
Marseille 35.44% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.88% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.35% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 55.65% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 23.19% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 76.81% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 10.23% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 89.77% (-0.11)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 71.18% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 28.82% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 35.32% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 64.68% (-0.10)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 70.08% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 29.92% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 33.98% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 66.02% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Lens 37.23%
Draw 27.31%
Marseille 35.44%
Lens
1-0 @ 10.72% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.05% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
Marseille
0-1 @ 10.4% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.81% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.28% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.53% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 35.44%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal David Costa 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Jan 22, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kevin Danso 20' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 32' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 49' yellowcard
  • goal Dimitri Payet 34'
  • yellowcard Luan Peres 71'
  • goal Cedric Bakambu 77'
  • yellowcard Pol Lirola 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Pape Gueye 6' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 7' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 33' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 45'+2' goal
  • goal Florian Sotoca 9'
  • goal Przemyslaw Frankowski 27'
  • goal Wesley Said 71'
  • yellowcard Wesley Said 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2021 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Seko Fofana 43' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 46' goal
  • Cheick Doucoure 48' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 61' goal
  • Facundo Medina 63' yellowcard
  • Corentin Jean 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Thauvin 37'
  • goal Arkadiusz Milik 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Pol Lirola 60'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Gonzalez 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Jan 20, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pape Gueye 55' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Balerdi 62' yellowcard
  • Lucas Perrin 69' yellowcard
  • Saif-Eddine Khaoui 81' yellowcard
  • Mickael Cuisance 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Massadio Haidara 19'
  • yellowcard Simon Banza 25'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 55'
  • goal Simon Banza 59'
Ligue 1
Mar 22, 2015 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pierrick Valdivia 11' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Gbamin 35' yellowcard
  • Jerome Lemoigne 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franck Dja Djedje 22'
  • goal Michy Batshuayi 46'
  • goal Alaixys Romao 67'
  • goal Andre Ayew 72'
  • yellowcard Gianelli Imbula 90'
  • goal Michy Batshuayi 93'