Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
0 - 0
Marseille

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Marseille
18.09% ( -0.4)	22.66% ( -0.27)	59.26% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 49.53% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01% (

0.53)

48.99% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93% (

0.48)

71.07% (

-0.48)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.09% (

-0.14)

40.91% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52% (

-0.13)

77.48% (

0.13)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.82% (

0.42)

16.18% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.36% (

0.75)

45.64% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Lorient 18.09%

Marseille 59.25%

Draw 22.65%

Lorient	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.09%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.65%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 10.98% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 59.25%