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Ligue 1

Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Lorient logo

Nice
1 - 1
Lorient

Laborde (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Meite (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-1 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-0 Troyes
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawLorient
63.81% (0.366 0.37)20.43% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)15.76% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.533 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.58% (-0.345 -0.34)43.42% (0.348 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.18% (-0.343 -0.34)65.82% (0.345 0.34)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.92% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-0.611 -0.61)40.45% (0.613 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-0.559 -0.56)77.06% (0.56 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Nice 63.8%
    Lorient 15.76%
    Draw 20.43%
NiceDrawLorient
2-0 @ 10.94% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.82% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 63.8%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.43%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 15.76%

How you voted: Nice vs Lorient

Nice
84.0%
Draw
4.0%
Lorient
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 4.05pm
Lorient
1-2
Nice
Ouattara (18')
Atal (61'), Laborde (69')
Lemina (58')
Apr 17, 2022 12pm
Nice
2-1
Lorient
Delort (54' pen., 88')
Daniliuc (45'), Thuram (78')
Lauriente (61')
Jenz (53')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lorient
1-0
Nice
Monconduit (23')
Jenz (62')
Jenz (69')

Kluivert (22'), Rosario (60'), Delort (78'), Atal (79')
Mar 14, 2021 2pm
Lorient
1-1
Nice
Wissa (66')
Boisgard (3'), Abergel (73')
Maolida (58')
Kamara (42'), Schneiderlin (73')
Dec 23, 2020 6pm
Nice
2-2
Lorient
Lotomba (18'), Reine-Adelaide (34')
Boudaoui (73'), Lotomba (90'), Reine-Adelaide (90+3')
Bambu (81')
Moffi (49'), Grbic (82' pen.)
Laporte (38'), Monconduit (44'), Lemoine (45+1'), Le Fee (90+3')