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Le Havre
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Monaco
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Nice
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Reims
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Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
AJ Auxerre

Nice
1 - 1
Auxerre

Laborde (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hein (36')
Zedadka (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 0-3 Nice
Sunday, February 26 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Auxerre
Sunday, February 26 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 2-0 Auxerre

Regardless of Auxerre's mini-revival in recent weeks, we expect Nice to notch a seventh victory in nine league matches when Pelissier's side visit the Allianz Riviera. Having racked up 17 goals across their previous eight Ligue 1 outings – in addition to six clean sheets – Nice look set to secure another comfortable win on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawAuxerre
56.2% (0.489 0.49) 22.87% (-0.236 -0.24) 20.93% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 53.57% (0.396 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (0.706 0.71)45.97% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (0.667 0.67)68.28% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (0.42099999999999 0.42)16.17% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.37% (0.761 0.76)45.63% (-0.761 -0.76)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9% (0.151 0.15)36.09% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.12% (0.152 0.15)72.88% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Nice 56.19%
    Auxerre 20.93%
    Draw 22.86%
NiceDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.93%

How you voted: Nice vs Auxerre

Nice
87.6%
Draw
6.2%
Auxerre
6.2%
97
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Oct 31, 2018 5.45pm
Third Round
Nice
3-2
Auxerre
Maolida (17'), Walter (41', 80' pen.)
Dugimont (57'), Philippoteaux (82')
Ba (22'), Adeoti (90')
Marcelin (87')
Apr 21, 2012 4pm
Dec 11, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3085173149-1829
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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