Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
1 - 1
Auxerre

Laborde (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hein (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 0-3 Nice
Sunday, February 26 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Auxerre
Sunday, February 26 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Auxerre
56.2% ( 0.49)	22.87% ( -0.24)	20.93% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 53.57% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03% (

0.71)

45.97% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72% (

0.67)

68.28% (

-0.67)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83% (

0.42)

16.17% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.37% (

0.76)

45.63% (

-0.76)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

0.15)

36.09% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

0.15)

72.88% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Nice 56.19%

Auxerre 20.93%

Draw 22.86%

Nice	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.19%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.93%