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AJ Auxerre
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AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Lyon

Auxerre
2 - 1
Lyon

Perrin (51' pen.), Jubal (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
AuxerreDrawLyon
20.67% (-0.558 -0.56)22.62% (0.323 0.32)56.71% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-1.928 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (-2.153 -2.15)45.22% (2.151 2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (-2.094 -2.09)67.57% (2.092 2.09)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06% (-1.77 -1.77)35.93% (1.767 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.29% (-1.854 -1.85)72.71% (1.851 1.85)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (-0.667 -0.67)15.73% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (-1.245 -1.25)44.83% (1.241 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 20.67%
    Lyon 56.7%
    Draw 22.62%
AuxerreDrawLyon
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.257 0.26)
2-1 @ 5.48% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-0 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.67%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.505 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 10.45% (0.707 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.67% (0.448 0.45)
1-3 @ 6.1% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 5.96% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 56.7%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Lyon

Auxerre
10.1%
Draw
8.6%
Lyon
81.3%
139
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Apr 7, 2012 4pm
Nov 27, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0


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