Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
| 20.67% ( | 22.62% ( | 56.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( | 45.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( | 67.57% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% ( | 35.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( | 72.71% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( | 15.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( | 44.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 2-1 @ 5.48% ( 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 3-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.67% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0-3 @ 5.96% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0-4 @ 2.76% ( 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0-5 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.7% |