/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fauxlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
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Gaetan Perrin
51'
-
Jubal
53'
-
Moussa Dembele
36'
Auxerre vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F04%2Fmalo-gusto.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result
Auxerre
20.67%
▼
(-0.56)
Draw
22.62%
▲
(+0.33)
Lyon
56.71%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
53.99%
▼
(-1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.77%
▼
(-2.16)
Under 2.5
45.22%
▲
(+2.16)
Over 3.5
32.43%
▼
(-2.10)
Under 3.5
67.57%
▲
(+2.10)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5
64.06%
▼
(-1.78)
Under 0.5
35.93%
▲
(+1.77)
Over 1.5
27.29%
▼
(-1.86)
Under 1.5
72.71%
▲
(+1.86)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
84.26%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 0.5
15.73%
▲
(+0.67)
Over 1.5
55.17%
▼
(-1.25)
Under 1.5
44.83%
▲
(+1.25)
Score analysis
Auxerre
20.67%
Draw
22.62%
Lyon
56.7%
Auxerre
1-0
@
5.79%
▲
(+0.26)
2-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.67%
2-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.67%
Draw
1-1
@
10.7%
▲
(+0.24)
0-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.51)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.62%
0-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.51)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.62%
Lyon
0-1
@
10.45%
▲
(+0.71)
1-2 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.24)
1-4 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.15)
1-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.08)
0-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 56.7%
1-2 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.45)
1-3 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.24)
1-4 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.15)
1-5 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.08)
0-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 56.7%