Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
2 - 1
Lens

Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Machado (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Lens
36.43% ( -0.27)	25.45% ( -0.16)	38.12% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 56.13% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.25% (

0.69)

47.74% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.06% (

0.63)

69.94% (

-0.63)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.17)

25.54% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.23)

60.4% (

-0.23)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

0.55)

24.61% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.88% (

0.76)

59.12% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Lyon 36.43%

Lens 38.12%

Draw 25.44%

Lyon	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.43%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.12%