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Ligue 1
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Lyon
Ajaccio
0 - 2
Lyon

Gonzalez (28'), El Idrissy (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lepenant (20'), Lacazette (71')
Lopes (53'), Kumbedi (56'), Tagliafico (70')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Lyon
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lyon

 Lyon will be desperate for three points to try to kick-start a stagnating season, but Ajaccio will be just as determined to move away from trouble. OL won in the reverse fixture back in August despite having keeper Anthony Lopes sent off in the first half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLyon
21.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 53.27% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.032000000000004 0.03)52.69% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.027999999999999 0.03)74.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.74% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05)51.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 21.93%
    Lyon 53.26%
    Draw 24.79%
AjaccioDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.93%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 12.46%
0-2 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 5.47% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 53.26%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Lyon

Ajaccio
6.8%
Draw
6.8%
Lyon
86.4%
44
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2022 8pm
Lyon
2-1
Ajaccio
Tete (12'), Lacazette (21' pen.)
Lacazette (33')
Lopes (27')
Mangani (31' pen.)
Avinel (20'), Hamouma (33'), El Idrissy (34'), Diallo (41'), Spadanuda (90+2')
Hamouma (45+3')
Feb 16, 2014 1pm
Lyon
3-1
Ajaccio
Fofana (43'), Briand (68'), Gomis (90')
Ferri (72')
Oliech (81')
Perozo (29'), Tonucci (78')
> Match Report
Sep 25, 2013 6pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Lyon
Arrache (18'), Demba Camara (70')
Goncalves (10'), Arrache (19'), Lasne (53'), Demba Camara (92'), Belghazouani (94'), Grenier (94')
Malbranque (56')
Malbranque (41'), Lacazette (94')
Lacazette (95')
> Match Report
Feb 3, 2013 1pm
Ajaccio
3-1
Lyon
Belghazouani (57'), Mutu (65', 90' pen.)
Mutu (34'), Mostefa (66'), Oliech (89')
Lacazette (53')
Ghezzal (63'), Martial (90')
Lovren (90')
> Match Report
Sep 16, 2012 4pm
Lyon
2-0
Ajaccio
Lovren (25'), López (74')
Grenier (14')

Bouhours (13'), Mutu (69')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15113138122636
2Nice159511661032
3MonacoMonaco1593331201130
4Lille157621911827
5Brest157441915425
6Marseille156542216623
7Lens156541915423
8Reims157262121023
9NantesNantes155371925-618
10StrasbourgStrasbourg154561420-617
11Le HavreLe Havre153751317-416
12Metz154471523-816
13Rennes153662021-115
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
15Toulouse152761421-713
16Lorient152672029-912
17Clermont15258921-1211
18Lyon152491427-1310
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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