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Ligue 1

AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Lyon

Ajaccio
0 - 2
Lyon

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lepenant (20'), Lacazette (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Lyon
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLyon
21.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.27% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.032000000000004 0.03)52.69% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.027999999999999 0.03)74.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.74% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05)51.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 21.93%
    Lyon 53.26%
    Draw 24.79%
AjaccioDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.93%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 12.46%
0-2 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 5.47% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 53.26%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Lyon

Ajaccio
6.8%
Draw
6.8%
Lyon
86.4%
44
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2022 8pm
Lyon
2-1
Ajaccio
Tete (12'), Lacazette (21' pen.)
Lacazette (33')
Lopes (27')
Mangani (31' pen.)
Avinel (20'), Hamouma (33'), El Idrissy (34'), Diallo (41'), Spadanuda (90+2')
Hamouma (45+3')
Feb 16, 2014 1pm
Lyon
3-1
Ajaccio
Fofana (43'), Briand (68'), Gomis (90')
Ferri (72')
Oliech (81')
Perozo (29'), Tonucci (78')
> Match Report
Sep 25, 2013 6pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Lyon
Arrache (18'), Demba Camara (70')
Goncalves (10'), Arrache (19'), Lasne (53'), Demba Camara (92'), Belghazouani (94'), Grenier (94')
Malbranque (56')
Malbranque (41'), Lacazette (94')
Lacazette (95')
> Match Report
Feb 3, 2013 1pm
Ajaccio
3-1
Lyon
Belghazouani (57'), Mutu (65', 90' pen.)
Mutu (34'), Mostefa (66'), Oliech (89')
Lacazette (53')
Ghezzal (63'), Martial (90')
Lovren (90')
> Match Report
Sep 16, 2012 4pm
Lyon
2-0
Ajaccio
Lovren (25'), López (74')
Grenier (14')

Bouhours (13'), Mutu (69')
rhs 2.0


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