Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 5, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 1
Lens

Le Douaron (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gradit (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lens
19.07% ( -0.1)	23.36% ( 0.05)	57.57% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 49.11% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.56% (

-0.34)

50.44% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.63% (

-0.3)

72.37% (

0.3)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.36% (

-0.31)

40.64% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.77% (

-0.29)

77.23% (

0.28)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

-0.1)

17.28% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.39% (

-0.18)

47.61% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Brest 19.07%

Lens 57.56%

Draw 23.36%

Brest	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.07%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.82% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 57.56%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest

20.5%

Draw

11.4%

Lens

68.2%

Head to Head

Jan 22, 2023 8pm

Round of 32

Brest

1-3

Lens

Slimani (19')
Lees-Melou (32')

Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')

Aug 7, 2022 2pm

Lens

3-2

Brest

Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')

Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')

Mar 5, 2022 4pm

Lens

0-1

Brest

Medina (67')

Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')

Nov 21, 2021 12pm

Brest

4-0

Lens

Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
Duverne (58')

Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
Kalimuendo (74')

Apr 18, 2021 2pm

Brest

1-1

Lens

Cahuzac (37' og.), Kakuta (72' pen.)
Bade (35'), Haidara (48'), Fortes (54'), Banza (59'), Clauss (63'), Lucas (87')
Haise (65'), Fortes (81'), Lucas (89'), Banza (89')

Form Guide