Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Angers

Brest
4 - 0
Angers

Le Douaron (14'), Mounie (34'), Honorat (59'), Lees-Melou (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Angers

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: FCOSK 06 0-1 Angers
Saturday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Angers had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawAngers
41.23% (0.119 0.12)26.98% (0.010000000000002 0.01)31.79% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05% (-0.064 -0.06)54.95% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (-0.052000000000003 -0.05)76.23% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)26.25% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.043999999999997 0.04)61.35% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)31.98% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.135 -0.14)68.44% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brest 41.22%
    Angers 31.79%
    Draw 26.98%
BrestDrawAngers
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Brest vs Angers

Brest
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Angers
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Angers
1-3
Brest
Boufal (70')
Thioub (47'), Diony (49')
Sabanovic (34')
Le Douaron (10', 38'), Dari (65')
Mar 20, 2022 2pm
Angers
1-0
Brest
Boufal (39' pen.)
Boufal (9'), Thomas (28')

Cardona (43')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Brest
1-1
Angers
Faivre (62' pen.)
Der Zakarian (21'), Pierre-Gabriel (27'), Honorat (45+1')
Der Zakarian (77')
Mangani (78' pen.)
Doumbia (24'), Cabot (87')
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Brest
0-0
Angers

Lasne (46')

Doumbia (24'), Amadou (47'), Boufal (84')
Sep 27, 2020 2pm
Angers
3-2
Brest
Thioub (22'), Traore (78'), Fulgini (80')
Pavlovic (39'), Mangani (43'), Cho (90+3')
Mounie (3' pen.), Charbonnier (32')
Diallo (27'), Cardona (85')