Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Angers had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.