Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Angers had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Clermont |
34.58% ( 0.14) | 27.87% ( 0.05) | 37.55% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.13% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.19% ( -0.19) | 57.82% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.46% ( -0.15) | 78.54% ( 0.15) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% ( -0) | 31.56% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.05% ( -0.01) | 67.95% ( 0) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.31% ( -0.21) | 29.69% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.26% ( -0.26) | 65.75% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |