Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 0
Angers

Ekitike (5'), Messi (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Chateauroux 1-3 PSG
Friday, January 6 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Angers

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lorient
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 88.34%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 3.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.64%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Angers
88.34% ( 0.01)	7.96% ( -0.01)	3.7% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.24% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.45% (

0.06)

21.55% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.73% (

0.08)

40.27% (

-0.08)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.96% (

0.01)

3.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.33% (

0.03)

13.67% (

-0.03)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.72% (

0.07)

51.27% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.47% (

0.04)

85.53% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 88.33%

Angers 3.7%

Draw 7.96%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Angers
3-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 5.18% Total : 88.33%	1-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 7.96%	1-2 @ 1.22% 0-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 3.7%