/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Ftrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
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Rony Lopes
62'
-
Bradley Barcola
43'
-
Rayan Cherki
59'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
90'+3'
Troyes vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F43%2Fgauthier-gallon-troyes.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Troyes
17.4%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
20.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Lyon
61.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
54.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
42.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
35.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
64.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5
62.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
37.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
25.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
74.43%
▼
(-0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
86.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
13.11%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
60.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
39.75%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Troyes
17.4%
Draw
20.81%
Lyon
61.78%
Troyes
1-0
@
4.82%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.4%
2-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.4%
Draw
1-1
@
9.8%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.81%
0-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.81%
Lyon
0-2
@
10.18%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.78%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.78%
Rominigue Kouame
51'
