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Ligue 1

Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lyon

Troyes
1 - 3
Lyon

Lopes (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcola (43'), Cherki (59'), Lacazette (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 4-1 Troyes
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLyon
17.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03)20.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)61.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.17% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (0.012 0.01)42.13% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)64.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (0.038 0.04)74.43% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)39.75% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 17.4%
    Lyon 61.78%
    Draw 20.81%
TroyesDrawLyon
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 4.79% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.4%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.81%
0-2 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.9% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.78%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lyon

Troyes
14.0%
Draw
2.3%
Lyon
83.7%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Lyon
4-1
Troyes
Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')
Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')
Jan 16, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
0-1
Lyon

Rodrigues (45+3'), Giraudon (65')
Dembele (33' pen.)
Gusto (86')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-1
Troyes
Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')
Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')
May 6, 2018 3.30pm
Lyon
3-0
Troyes
Traore (28', 35'), Cornet (88')
Tousart (4'), Mendy (78')

Azamoum (20'), Hyun-jun (81')
Oct 22, 2017 4pm
Troyes
0-5
Lyon

Grandsir (19'), Dingome (59')
Herelle (69')
Traore (21'), Depay (49', 66', 70'), Mariano (90')
Morel (16'), Da Silva (33')
rhs 2.0


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