Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lyon |
17.4% (![]() | 20.81% (![]() | 61.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.87% (![]() | 42.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.47% (![]() | 64.53% (![]() |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.35% (![]() | 37.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% (![]() | 74.43% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.89% (![]() | 13.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.25% (![]() | 39.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 4.82% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.4% | 1-1 @ 9.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.81% | 0-2 @ 10.18% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 61.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 36 |
2 | Nice | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 32 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Brest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Marseille | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
8 | Reims | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 23 |
9 | NantesNantes | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Metz | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
13 | Rennes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 15 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Toulouse | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 11 |
18 | Lyon | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |