Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 10, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dante 3' goal
  • Bilal Brahimi 69' goal
  • Bilal Brahimi 90' goal

Nice vs Ajaccio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Marseille 1 - 3 Nice
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Gaetan Laborde

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2023 2.00pm
Ajaccio 0 - 2 Nantes
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Mounaim El Idrissy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result

Nice 51.95% (-0.04)
Draw 25.49% (+0.04)
Ajaccio 22.56% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.81% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.3% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 54.7% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 23.98% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 76.02% (+0.09)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5 78.92% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 21.08% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 46.1% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 53.9% (+0.09)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5 60.58% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 39.42% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.88% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 76.12% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Nice 51.94%
Draw 25.49%
Ajaccio 22.56%
Nice
1-0 @ 12.93% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.07% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.49%
Ajaccio
0-1 @ 7.74% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.6% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.56%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Andy Delort 65'
Ligue 1
Jan 18, 2014 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian Bruls 5' goal
  • Gregoire Puel 63' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Abriel 76' yellowcard
  • Dario Cvitanich 86' yellowcard
  • Dario Cvitanich 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ricardo Faty 60'
  • yellowcard Johan Cavalli 64'
  • yellowcard Dennis Oliech 80'
Ligue 1
Aug 25, 2013 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1
May 26, 2013 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chahir Belghazouani 35' yellowcard
  • goal Darío Cvitanich 50'
  • yellowcard Darío Cvitanich 69'
  • goal Éric Bautheac 77'
Ligue 1
Aug 11, 2012 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1
Feb 4, 2012 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT