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Ligue 1
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
AC Ajaccio

Nice
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Dante (3'), Brahimi (69', 90')
Boudaoui (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 3-0 Ajaccio

 Struggling for goals, without their captain and vice-captain and facing a reinvigorated Nice side, this contest has all the makings of a bad day at the office for Ajaccio. Les Aiglons' hot streak is sure to end at some point, but it should not be on Friday, as Digard's men continue to put pressure on their fellow European hopefuls with a straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
NiceDrawAjaccio
51.95% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 25.49% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 22.56% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.81% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)54.7% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)76.02% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)21.08% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)53.9% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)39.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (-0.044 -0.04)76.12% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nice 51.94%
    Ajaccio 22.56%
    Draw 25.49%
NiceDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.56%

How you voted: Nice vs Ajaccio

Nice
89.6%
Draw
5.2%
Ajaccio
5.2%
115
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Nice

Marchetti (40')
Delort (65')
Jan 18, 2014 7pm
Nice
2-0
Ajaccio
Bruls (5' og.), Cvitanich (90')
Puel (63'), Abriel (76'), Cvitanich (86')

Faty (60'), Cavalli (64'), Oliech (80')
> Match Report
Aug 25, 2013 4pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Nice
> Match Report
May 26, 2013 8pm
Ajaccio
0-2
Nice

Belghazouani (35')
Bautheac (77'), Cvitanich (50')
Cvitanich (69')
> Match Report
Aug 11, 2012 8pm
Nice
0-1
Ajaccio
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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