Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Nantes |
32.39% ( -0.02) | 29.61% ( 0) | 38% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 42.92% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.95% ( -0.02) | 64.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.78% ( -0.01) | 83.22% ( 0.01) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.65% ( -0.02) | 36.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.87% ( -0.02) | 73.13% ( 0.03) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( 0) | 32.57% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( 0.01) | 69.1% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.83% 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.69% Total : 38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |