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Angers
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
AC Ajaccio

Angers
1 - 2
Ajaccio

Sima (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Soumano (65'), El Idrissy (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Angers and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Les Herbiers 0-0 Angers (5-6 pen.)
Friday, December 19 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Next Game: Le Havre vs. Angers
Sunday, January 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Paris FC 2-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 10 at 4pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
AngersDrawAjaccio
39.16% (0.187 0.19)29.15% (0.026 0.03)31.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 43.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33% (-0.116 -0.12)62.67% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)82.23% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)31.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (0.061 0.06)67.48% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)36.11% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (-0.222 -0.22)72.89% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Angers 39.16%
    Ajaccio 31.69%
    Draw 29.14%
AngersDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.12% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.14%
0-1 @ 11.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 31.69%

How you voted: Angers vs Ajaccio

Angers
52.8%
Draw
29.2%
Ajaccio
18.1%
72
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 2pm
gameweek 16
Ajaccio
1-0
Angers
Belaili (40' pen.)