Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Ajaccio |
39.16% ( 0.19) | 29.15% ( 0.03) | 31.69% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 43.99% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.33% ( -0.12) | 62.67% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.77% ( -0.09) | 82.23% ( 0.09) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.85% ( 0.05) | 31.14% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.52% ( 0.06) | 67.48% ( -0.06) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.89% ( -0.22) | 36.11% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% ( -0.22) | 72.89% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 31.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |