Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 39.16% ( | 29.15% ( | 31.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.33% ( | 62.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.77% ( | 82.23% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( | 31.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( | 36.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% ( | 72.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 13.12% ( 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.24% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 31.69% |