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Ligue 1

Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 26, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
AJ Auxerre

Lorient
0 - 1
Auxerre

FT(HT: 0-0)
Raveloson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Lyon
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawAuxerre
43.66% (0.128 0.13)25.52% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)30.82% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.37% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.292 0.29)49.35% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.262 0.26)71.4% (-0.267 -0.27)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (0.184 0.18)22.54% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (0.274 0.27)56.12% (-0.28 -0.28)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.108 0.11)29.8% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.132 0.13)65.88% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 43.65%
    Auxerre 30.82%
    Draw 25.52%
LorientDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.82%

How you voted: Lorient vs Auxerre

Lorient
83.9%
Draw
11.3%
Auxerre
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Auxerre
1-3
Lorient
Hein (50')
Mensah (40')
Ouattara (15'), Moffi (36'), Le Fee (42')
May 1, 2020 7pm
Auxerre
P-P
Lorient
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Lorient
1-0
Auxerre
Cabot (65')
Le Goff (61'), Cabot (71'), Lemoine (74')

Barreto (82')
Apr 29, 2019 7.45pm
Lorient
2-2
Auxerre
Wissa (60'), Claude Maurice (62')
Cabot (50')
Van Boto (32'), Yattara (71')
Van Boto (61')
Apr 25, 2019
1am
Lorient  
vs.
  Auxerre