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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Lorient logo

Nantes
1 - 0
Lorient

Blas (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Nantes 0-0 Lorient

With a big European match upcoming, we expect Kombouare will want to give his starters a little playing time but not much so as not to risk an injury. Therefore, we expect La Maison Jaune to be pragmatic in their approach this weekend and hang back defensively, while containing the Lorient attack should not be a problem for them as Les Merlus have not shown much quality in front of goal lately. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match.

Result
NantesDrawLorient
43.39% (-1.536 -1.54) 25.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 31.37% (1.554 1.55)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.84 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.741 0.74)47.9% (-0.739 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (0.678 0.68)70.08% (-0.676 -0.68)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.395 -0.39)22.04% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.603 -0.6)55.37% (0.604 0.6)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (1.432 1.43)28.71% (-1.431 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (1.754 1.75)64.54% (-1.752 -1.75)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 43.39%
    Lorient 31.37%
    Draw 25.23%
NantesDrawLorient
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.415 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.272 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.23 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.174 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lorient

Nantes
56.9%
Draw
19.6%
Lorient
23.5%
51
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Lorient
3-2
Nantes
Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')
Ganago (13'), Simon (85')
Simon (40')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Girotto (39'), Kolo (53'), Bukari (69'), Geubbels (86')
Moutoussamy (45+1'), Da Silva (77'), Appiah (83')
Moffi (56'), Soumano (85')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Lorient
0-2
Nantes

Abergel (18'), Lauriente (19'), Morel (82')
Bamba (80'), Blas (83')
Louza (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier30910113842-436
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3094172848-2031
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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