Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 12, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 0
Lorient

Blas (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lorient
43.39% ( -1.54)	25.24% ( -0.02)	31.37% ( 1.55)

Both teams to score 55.57% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.1% (

0.74)

47.9% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.92% (

0.68)

70.08% (

-0.68)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0.39)

22.04% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

-0.6)

55.37% (

0.6)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

1.43)

28.71% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

1.75)

64.54% (

-1.75)

Score Analysis

Nantes 43.39%

Lorient 31.37%

Draw 25.23%

Nantes	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.39%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.37%