Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
43.39% ( -1.54) | 25.24% ( -0.02) | 31.37% ( 1.55) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.1% ( 0.74) | 47.9% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.92% ( 0.68) | 70.08% ( -0.68) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% ( -0.39) | 22.04% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( -0.6) | 55.37% ( 0.6) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( 1.43) | 28.71% ( -1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( 1.75) | 64.54% ( -1.75) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |