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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Lorient logo

Nantes
1 - 0
Lorient

Blas (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Nantes 0-0 Lorient

 With a big European match upcoming, we expect Kombouare will want to give his starters a little playing time but not much so as not to risk an injury. Therefore, we expect La Maison Jaune to be pragmatic in their approach this weekend and hang back defensively, while containing the Lorient attack should not be a problem for them as Les Merlus have not shown much quality in front of goal lately. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match.

Result
NantesDrawLorient
43.39% (-1.536 -1.54) 25.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 31.37% (1.554 1.55)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.84 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.741 0.74)47.9% (-0.739 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (0.678 0.68)70.08% (-0.676 -0.68)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.395 -0.39)22.04% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.603 -0.6)55.37% (0.604 0.6)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (1.432 1.43)28.71% (-1.431 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (1.754 1.75)64.54% (-1.752 -1.75)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 43.39%
    Lorient 31.37%
    Draw 25.23%
NantesDrawLorient
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.415 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.272 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.23 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.174 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lorient

Nantes
56.9%
Draw
19.6%
Lorient
23.5%
51
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Lorient
3-2
Nantes
Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')
Ganago (13'), Simon (85')
Simon (40')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Girotto (39'), Kolo (53'), Bukari (69'), Geubbels (86')
Moutoussamy (45+1'), Da Silva (77'), Appiah (83')
Moffi (56'), Soumano (85')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Lorient
0-1
Nantes

Ouattara (26')
Cyprien (83')
Coulibaly (18'), Moutoussamy (48'), Girotto (90+1')
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-1
Lorient
Kolo (2')
Lauriente (87')
Lauriente (24')
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Lorient
0-2
Nantes

Abergel (18'), Lauriente (19'), Morel (82')
Bamba (80'), Blas (83')
Louza (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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