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Ligue 1

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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
AC Ajaccio

Lorient
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Dieng (6' pen.), Faivre (43'), Ponceau (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, February 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-0 Ajaccio
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawAjaccio
38.43% (0.044999999999995 0.04)28.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)33.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.62% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4% (0.042000000000002 0.04)59.6% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (0.032999999999998 0.03)79.93% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.046999999999997 0.05)30.04% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.056999999999995 0.06)66.17% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64%33.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.99% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 38.42%
    Ajaccio 33.25%
    Draw 28.31%
LorientDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.42%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Lorient vs Ajaccio

Lorient
71.1%
Draw
17.8%
Ajaccio
11.1%
45
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 2pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Lorient
Ouattara (51')
Kone (35')
Mar 7, 2020 2pm
Ajaccio
1-0
Lorient
Bayala (52')
El Idrissy (4'), Ismael (58')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Lorient
0-0
Ajaccio

Hamel (36')

Ismael (51'), Flips (69')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Lorient
1-0
Ajaccio
Claude Maurice (50')
Lemoine (33')
Sainati (40')

Gimbert (59'), Boe-Kane (64')
Jan 31, 2019
12am
Lorient  
vs.
  Ajaccio
rhs 2.0


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