Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Route de Lorient

Rennes
0 - 1
Marseille

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kolasinac (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Annecy (6-7 pen.)
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Marseille
28.46% ( -0.11)	26.28% ( 0.01)	45.25% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 50.68% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

-0.1)

53.54% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94% (

-0.09)

75.05% (

0.08)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32% (

-0.14)

33.68% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

-0.15)

70.33% (

0.15)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41%

23.58% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.34% (

0.01)

57.65% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Rennes 28.46%

Marseille 45.25%

Draw 26.28%

Rennes	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 28.46%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.25%