Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Feb 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
0 - 3
PSG

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mbappe (25', 55'), Messi (29')

Reaction

Paris Saint-Germain's (PSG) Presnel Kimpembe is brought off the pitch after sustaining an injury as Kylian Mbappe looks on on February 26, 2023

PSG's Presnel Kimpembe to miss rest of season with torn Achilles

Paris Saint-Germain centre-back Presnel Kimpembe is ruled out for the remainder of the season with a torn Achilles tendon.

Feb 27, 09:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 4-3 Lille
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
34.69% ( 0.22)	23.77% ( -0.03)	41.54% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 61.93% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

0.2)

40.1% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

0.21)

62.47% (

-0.21)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.03% (

0.21)

22.97% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.25% (

0.32)

56.75% (

-0.32)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.39% (

19.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.45% (

51.55% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Marseille 34.69%

Paris Saint-Germain 41.54%

Draw 23.77%

Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.69%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.54%