Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 11, 2023 8.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 44'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 81'

Clermont vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2023 12.00pm
Clermont 0 - 2 Monaco
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Grejohn Kyei

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Marseille 1 - 3 Nice
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Alexis Sanchez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Clermont 12.8% (-0.06)
Draw 20.31% (-0.01)
Marseille 66.88% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.65% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.95% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.04% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 28.87% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 71.12% (+0.06)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5 51.77% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 48.22% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 16.6% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 83.39% (+0.09)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 86.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.75%
Over 1.5 58.95% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.04% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Clermont 12.8%
Draw 20.31%
Marseille 66.87%
Clermont
1-0 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.5% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 12.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 20.31%
Marseille
0-1 @ 13.15% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 13.05% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.63% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
0-5 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 66.87%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Valentin Rongier 44' yellowcard
  • Pape Gueye 49' goal
  • Eric Bailly 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Komnen Andric 37'
  • yellowcard Alidu Seidu 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jorge Sampaoli 39' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 68' yellowcard
  • Duje Caleta-Car 75' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 13'
  • yellowcard Alidu Seidu 68'
  • goal Jim Allevinah 84'
  • yellowcard Grejohn Kyei 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Saif-Eddine Khaoui 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Guendouzi 24'
  • goal Cengiz Under 25'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 40'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 43'
  • yellowcard Konrad de la Fuente 56'