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Ligue 1

Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Monaco

Clermont
0 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-2)
Maripan (3'), Embolo (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 0-0 Clermont
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Auxerre
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawMonaco
26.92% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)25.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)47.97% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (0.105 0.1)49.69% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (0.092000000000002 0.09)71.71% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.090000000000003 0.09)20.74% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.142 0.14)53.36% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 26.92%
    Monaco 47.97%
    Draw 25.1%
ClermontDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.92%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.92% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.97%

How you voted: Clermont vs Monaco

Clermont
9.8%
Draw
11.8%
Monaco
78.4%
51
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 4.05pm
Monaco
1-1
Clermont
Embolo (31')
Camara (17')
Andric (53')
Jan 16, 2022 2pm
Monaco
4-0
Clermont
Diop (45+1'), Ben Yedder (55', 62' pen.), Henrique (83')

Abdul Samed (56')
Sep 26, 2021 4pm
Clermont
1-3
Monaco
Bayo (7')
Abdul Samed (35'), Gastien (54')
Ben Yedder (26'), Volland (48'), Diop (90+1')
Pavlovic (29'), Tchouameni (45'), Volland (70'), Diop (84')