Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 19, 2023 at 12pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
4 - 3
Lille

Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')

Reaction

Paris Saint-Germain's (PSG) Neymar is stretchered off after sustaining an injury on February 19, 2023

Paris Saint-Germain confirm sprained ankle for Neymar in Lille win

Paris Saint-Germain confirm that Neymar suffered a sprained ankle in Sunday's dramatic 4-3 win over Lille in Ligue 1.

Feb 19, 23:17

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.62%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lille
56.62% ( 0.23)	21.21% ( 0)	22.16% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 61.13% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.17% (

-0.31)

36.83% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.99% (

-0.34)

59% (

0.34)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.06% (

-0.04)

12.94% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.6% (

-0.07)

39.39% (

0.07)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

-0.38)

29.79% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.46)

65.86% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 56.62%

Lille 22.16%

Draw 21.21%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lille
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 56.62%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.21%	1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 22.16%