Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
PSG
Feb 19, 2023 12.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Lille
  • Kylian Mbappe 11' goal
  • Neymar 17' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 87' goal
  • Lionel Messi 90'+5' goal
  • goal Bafode Diakite 24'
  • goal Jonathan David 58'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 69'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 4.00pm
Monaco 3 - 1 PSG
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
Lille 2 - 0 Strasbourg
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.62%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 56.62% ▲ (+0.23)
Draw 21.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Lille 22.16% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.13% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.17% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 2.5 36.83% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 40.99% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 59% ▲ (+0.34)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 87.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 12.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 60.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 39.39% ▲ (+0.07)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 70.21% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 29.79% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 34.14% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 65.86% ▲ (+0.46)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 56.62%
Draw 21.21%
Lille 22.16%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 56.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.21%
Lille
1-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 22.16%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Lille
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
1
7
HT : 0 4
FT
PSG
  • Benjamin Andre 39' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Bamba 54' goal
  • Jonathan David 83' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 1'
  • goal Lionel Messi 27'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 34'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 39'
  • goal Neymar 43'
  • goal Neymar 52'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 66'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Lille
Feb 6, 2022 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT
PSG
  • Sven Botman 28' goal
  • Zeki Celik 75' yellowcard
  • Domagoj Bradaric 83' yellowcard
  • goal Danilo Pereira 10'
  • goal Presnel Kimpembe 32'
  • goal Lionel Messi 38'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 45'+1'
  • goal Danilo Pereira 51'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 67'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
PSG
Oct 29, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Lille
  • Marquinhos 74' goal
  • Neymar 86' yellowcard
  • Angel di Maria 88' goal
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 5'
  • goal Jonathan David 31'
  • yellowcard Burak Yilmaz 36'
  • yellowcard Renato Sanches 57'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 63'
  • yellowcard Ivo Grbic 85'
Trophee des Champions
Lille
Aug 1, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bloomfield Stadium
PSG
  • Xeka 45' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 78' yellowcard
  • Leo Jardim 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thilo Kehrer 30'
  • yellowcard Abdou Diallo 52'
  • yellowcard Julian Draxler 84'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
PSG
Apr 3, 2021 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Lille
  • Leandro Paredes 17' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 19' yellowcard
  • Neymar 48' yellowcard
  • Abdou Diallo 57' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 85' yellowcard
  • Neymar 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 4'
  • goal Jonathan David 20'
  • yellowcard Tiago Djalo 36'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 87'
  • redcard Tiago Djalo 90'+1'
Coupe de France
PSG
Mar 17, 2021 4.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Lille
  • Rafinha 3' yellowcard
  • Mauro Icardi 9' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 41' goal
  • Idrissa Gueye 64' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 78' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Domagoj Bradaric 18'
  • yellowcard Tiago Djalo 40'
  • yellowcard Xeka 44'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikone 80'

Form Data

PSG 0 - 1 Bayern
Monaco 3 - 1 PSG
Marseille 2 - 1 PSG
PSG 2 - 1 Toulouse
Montpellier 1 - 3 PSG
PSG 1 - 1 Reims
Lille 2 - 0 Strasbourg
Lyon 2 - 2 Lille
Rennes 1 - 3 Lille
Lille 0 - 0 Clermont
Nice 1 - 0 Lille
Lille 2 - 0 Pau