Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
2 - 0
Strasbourg

David (23' pen., 28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
69.92% ( -0.45)	18.09% ( 0.07)	11.99% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.71% (

0.75)

41.29% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.31% (

0.75)

63.68% (

-0.75)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.35% (

0.09)

10.64% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.51% (

0.2)

34.49% (

-0.2)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34% (

1.15)

44.66% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34% (

0.91)

80.66% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Lille 69.9%

Strasbourg 11.99%

Draw 18.09%

Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.08% Total : 69.9%	1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.87% Total : 18.09%	0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.99%