Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
2 - 0
Montpellier

Diallo (1', 45')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Montpellier HSC
50.73% ( 0.39)	25.29% ( -0.26)	23.97% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.27% (

0.86)

52.72% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

0.73)

74.36% (

-0.74)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

0.51)

20.79% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.55% (

0.81)

53.45% (

-0.81)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63% (

0.35)

36.99% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.22% (

0.35)

73.78% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 50.72%

Montpellier HSC 23.97%

Draw 25.29%

Strasbourg	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.72%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.97%