Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Arnaud Nordin 89' goal
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 55'
  • goal Lionel Messi 72'
  • goal Warren Zaire-Emery 90'+2'

Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Jan 29, 2023 2.00pm
Auxerre 0 - 2 Montpellier
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
PSG 1 - 1 Reims
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Montpellier HSC 6.38% (-0.01)
Draw 10.76% (+0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 82.85% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.65% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.93% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 23.07% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 57.65% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 42.35% (+0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 56.96% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.04% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 20.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.33% (+0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 95.95% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 4.04% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 82.98% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 17.01% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Montpellier HSC 6.38%
Draw 10.76%
Paris Saint-Germain 82.85%
Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 1.98% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 6.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18%
0-0 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 10.76%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-3 @ 9.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.96% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 8.07%
0-4 @ 7.68% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 6.48% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 4.93%
1-5 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.73% (-0.01)
0-6 @ 2.64%
1-6 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
0-7 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
1-7 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 82.85%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Falaye Sacko 39' goal
  • Neymar 43' goal
  • Neymar 51' goal
  • Presnel Kimpembe 60' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 66' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 69' goal
  • Renato Sanches 87' goal
  • goal Wahbi Khazri 58'
  • yellowcard Elye Wahi 63'
  • goal Enzo Tchato Mbiayi 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
May 14, 2022 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Arnaud Souquet 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ferri 89' yellowcard
  • goal Lionel Messi 6'
  • goal Lionel Messi 20'
  • goal Angel di Maria 26'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 34'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 60'
  • yellowcard Xavi Simons 70'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 85'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Sep 25, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Idrissa Gueye 14' goal
  • Julian Draxler 88' goal
  • yellowcard Beni Makouana 90'+1'
Coupe de France
May 12, 2021 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET
  • Gaetan Laborde 45' goal
  • Jordan Ferri 52' yellowcard
  • Florent Mollet 65' yellowcard
  • Andy Delort 83' goal
  • Teji Savanier 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 10'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 89'
  • yellowcard Neymar 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2021 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 34' goal
  • Neymar 60' goal
  • Mauro Icardi 61' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 63' goal
  • Neymar 76' yellowcard
  • Marco Verratti 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Jonas Omlin 19'
  • yellowcard Pedro Mendes 45'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Dec 5, 2020 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stephy Mavididi 41' goal
  • Teji Savanier 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Layvin Kurzawa 13'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 23'
  • goal Colin Dagba 33'
  • yellowcard Colin Dagba 42'
  • goal Moise Kean 77'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 90'+1'