/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Thijs Dallinga
3'
-
Ado Onaiwu
87'
-
Chancel Mbemba
52'
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Cengiz Under
59'
-
Nuno Tavares
78'
Toulouse vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F05%2Fphilippe-montanier.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Toulouse
20.16%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
22.33%
▲
(+0.11)
Marseille
57.5%
▼
(-0.28)
Both Teams to Score:
54.12%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.34%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
44.65%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
32.98%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 3.5
67.02%
▲
(+0.25)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
63.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
36.12%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
27.09%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
72.9%
▼
(-0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
84.73%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
15.27%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
56.03%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
43.97%
▲
(+0.33)
Score analysis
Toulouse
20.16%
Draw
22.33%
Marseille
57.5%
Toulouse
1-0
@
5.62%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 20.16%
2-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 20.16%
Draw
1-1
@
10.55%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.33%
0-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.33%
Marseille
0-1
@
10.36%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 57.5%
1-2 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 57.5%
