Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 2, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
3 - 1
Lorient

Cabella (13'), Zhegrova (89', 90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kone (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lille
Saturday, March 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Lorient
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Lille	Draw	Lorient
73.33%	16.55%	10.12%

Both teams to score 48.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.56%

39.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.22%

61.78%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.68%

9.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.56%

31.43%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.15%

46.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.63%

82.36%

Score Analysis

Lille 73.32%

Lorient 10.12%

Draw 16.55%

Lille	Draw	Lorient
2-0 @ 12.29% 1-0 @ 10.35% 3-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 7.37% 4-0 @ 5.77% 4-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 2.8% 5-0 @ 2.74% 5-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.66% 6-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.77% Total : 73.32%	1-1 @ 7.86% 0-0 @ 4.37% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.79% Total : 16.55%	0-1 @ 3.31% 1-2 @ 2.98% 0-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.57% Total : 10.12%