Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
| 48.1% ( | 23.31% ( | 28.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.36% ( | 40.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( | 63.02% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( | 17.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% ( | 47.36% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( | 26.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% ( | 62.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.1% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 28.59% |