Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lyon |
| 19.01% ( | 21.89% ( | 59.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( | 44.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( | 66.7% ( |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( | 37.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( | 73.93% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( | 14.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.22% ( | 42.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 2-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-1 @ 1.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.52% Total : 19.01% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-3 @ 6.43% ( 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 1-5 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 59.09% |