Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
1 - 1
Lille

Fonte (41' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

David (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Brest
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lille
42.98% ( 0)	25.22% ( -0.02)	31.8% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.8% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.31% (

0.07)

47.69% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

0.07)

69.88% (

-0.07)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

0.03)

22.15% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47% (

0.05)

55.54% (

-0.05)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

0.05)

28.32% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

0.06)

64.05% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Lens 42.98%

Lille 31.8%

Draw 25.22%

Lens	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.98%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.8%