MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 15:01:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Nantes

Lens
3 - 1
Nantes

Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mollet (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes

Neither side have much urgency to move the ball up the field quickly, and with two teams who are calculated in their approach and very well-organised, we expect to see a stalemate with chances at a premium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawNantes
50.69% (0.65300000000001 0.65) 25.63% (-0.21 -0.21) 23.67% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 48.63% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.413 0.41)54.25% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.345 0.34)75.65% (-0.346 -0.35)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.45099999999999 0.45)21.43% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (0.691 0.69)54.44% (-0.693 -0.69)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89% (-0.18 -0.18)38.11% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (-0.173 -0.17)74.87% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.69%
    Nantes 23.67%
    Draw 25.62%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.69%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.67%

How you voted: Lens vs Nantes

Lens
60.5%
Draw
23.7%
Nantes
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Lens
2-2
Nantes
Costa (67'), Kalimuendo (81' pen.)
Leca (19')
Simon (8', 32')
Pereira de Sa (53'), Cyprien (62'), Moutoussamy (74'), Pallois (80'), Lafont (81')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Nantes
3-2
Lens
Kolo (49', 57'), Simon (90')
Girotto (31'), Blas (60'), Chirivella (76')
Costa (7'), Kalimuendo (14')
Haidara (46'), Gradit (60'), Medina (61')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-1
Lens
Louza (36' pen.)
Kolo (50'), Corchia (67'), Toure (87')
Kakuta (81')
Gradit (34'), Haidara (69'), Fortes (77')
Nov 25, 2020 6pm
Lens
1-1
Nantes
Kakuta (27')
Doucoure (37'), Kakuta (64'), Gradit (78'), Bade (85')
Toure (81' pen.)
Girotto (7'), Kolo (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26178162233959
2Brest26138536201647
3MonacoMonaco26137647361146
4Lille261110537231443
5Nice2612772720743
6Lens2612683527842
7Marseille26109740281239
8Rennes2610974031939
9Reims26115103435-138
10Lyon26104123040-1034
11Toulouse2678112936-729
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2678112839-1129
13Le HavreLe Havre2669112633-727
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier2669113140-926
15Lorient2668123549-1426
16NantesNantes2674152441-1725
17Metz2665152339-1623
18Clermont2648141943-2420


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