Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Feb 19, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
3 - 1
Nantes

Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mollet (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Nantes
50.69% ( 0.65)	25.63% ( -0.21)	23.67% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 48.63% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

0.41)

54.25% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

0.34)

75.65% (

-0.35)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

0.45)

21.43% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.56% (

0.69)

54.44% (

-0.69)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

-0.18)

38.11% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.13% (

-0.17)

74.87% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Lens 50.69%

Nantes 23.67%

Draw 25.62%

Lens	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.69%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.67%