MX23RW : Monday, February 26 14:25:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Nantes
Lens
3 - 1
Nantes
Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mollet (40')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes

Neither side have much urgency to move the ball up the field quickly, and with two teams who are calculated in their approach and very well-organised, we expect to see a stalemate with chances at a premium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawNantes
50.69% (0.65300000000001 0.65) 25.63% (-0.21 -0.21) 23.67% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 48.63% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.413 0.41)54.25% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.345 0.34)75.65% (-0.346 -0.35)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.45099999999999 0.45)21.43% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (0.691 0.69)54.44% (-0.693 -0.69)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89% (-0.18 -0.18)38.11% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (-0.173 -0.17)74.87% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.69%
    Nantes 23.67%
    Draw 25.62%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.69%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.67%

How you voted: Lens vs Nantes

Lens
60.5%
Draw
23.7%
Nantes
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Lens
2-2
Nantes
Costa (67'), Kalimuendo (81' pen.)
Leca (19')
Simon (8', 32')
Pereira de Sa (53'), Cyprien (62'), Moutoussamy (74'), Pallois (80'), Lafont (81')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Nantes
3-2
Lens
Kolo (49', 57'), Simon (90')
Girotto (31'), Blas (60'), Chirivella (76')
Costa (7'), Kalimuendo (14')
Haidara (46'), Gradit (60'), Medina (61')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-1
Lens
Louza (36' pen.)
Kolo (50'), Corchia (67'), Toure (87')
Kakuta (81')
Gradit (34'), Haidara (69'), Fortes (77')
Nov 25, 2020 6pm
Lens
1-1
Nantes
Kakuta (27')
Doucoure (37'), Kakuta (64'), Gradit (78'), Bade (85')
Toure (81' pen.)
Girotto (7'), Kolo (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG23166154193554
2Brest23127434181643
3MonacoMonaco23125644341041
4Nice2311752215740
5Lille23108533201338
6Lens2310673024636
7Rennes239863527835
8Reims2310493031-134
9Marseille238963325833
10Lyon2384112535-1028
11Toulouse236892531-626
12NantesNantes2374122334-1125
13StrasbourgStrasbourg2367102335-1225
14Le HavreLe Havre235992430-624
15Montpellier HSCMontpellier2358102531-622
16Lorient2357113144-1322
17Metz2345141937-1817
18Clermont2338121636-2017

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