Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lens

Maouassa (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fulgini (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lens
16.21% ( 0.64)	20.4% ( 0.17)	63.39% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 53% (

0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.58% (

0.46)

42.41% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.18% (

0.45)

64.82% (

-0.45)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73% (

1.1)

39.26% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

1.01)

75.97% (

-1.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.26% (

-0.09)

12.74% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.02% (

-0.19)

38.98% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 16.21%

Lens 63.38%

Draw 20.4%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 2% Total : 16.21%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.4%	0-2 @ 10.61% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.38%