Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
16.21% ( 0.64) | 20.4% ( 0.17) | 63.39% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 53% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% ( 0.46) | 42.41% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% ( 0.45) | 64.82% ( -0.45) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.73% ( 1.1) | 39.26% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% ( 1.01) | 75.97% ( -1.02) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.26% ( -0.09) | 12.74% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.02% ( -0.19) | 38.98% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 2% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.4% | 0-2 @ 10.61% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |