MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 20:36:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lens logo

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lens

Maouassa (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fulgini (4')
Danso (20'), Sotoca (23'), Costa (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Lens

Having claimed back-to-back wins following Der Zakarian's arrival, Montpellier will fancy their chances of frustrating Lens, regardless of the 23-point gap between the two sides. The Blood and Gold have drawn four of their last five away league outings, so the European chasers might have to settle for another point on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
16.21% (0.64 0.64) 20.4% (0.174 0.17) 63.39% (-0.81399999999999 -0.81)
Both teams to score 53% (0.903 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (0.45500000000001 0.46)42.41% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.454 0.45)64.82% (-0.455 -0.45)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (1.1 1.1)39.26% (-1.1 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (1.014 1.01)75.97% (-1.016 -1.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)12.74% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (-0.193 -0.19)38.98% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 16.21%
    Lens 63.38%
    Draw 20.4%
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
1-0 @ 4.67% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.5% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 2.19% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.149 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.4%
0-2 @ 10.61% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.29% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-3 @ 6.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-4 @ 3.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.041 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.38%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lens

Montpellier HSC
27.7%
Draw
17.0%
Lens
55.3%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-2
Lens
Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')
Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Lens
2-3
Montpellier
Omlin (36' og.), Kakuta (50' pen.)
Cahuzac (75')
Mavididi (16'), Mendes (26'), Laborde (69')
Mendes (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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