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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Brest logo

Montpellier
3 - 0
Brest

Herelle (4' og.), Savanier (17' pen.), Wahi (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
29.54% (-0.641 -0.64)26.9% (0.077999999999999 0.08)43.55% (0.565 0.57)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.544 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (-0.548 -0.55)55.4% (0.548 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.4% (-0.451 -0.45)76.6% (0.453 0.45)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.761 -0.76)33.83% (0.762 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-0.834 -0.83)70.5% (0.836 0.84)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.039999999999992 0.04)25.24% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.055 0.05)59.99% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 29.54%
    Brest 43.55%
    Draw 26.9%
Montpellier HSCDrawBrest
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.54%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 11.75% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.188 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.55%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Brest

Montpellier HSC
27.3%
Draw
32.7%
Brest
40.0%
55
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Brest
0-7
Montpellier

Lees-Melou (50')
Maouassa (6'), Wahi (10', 31'), Khazri (11'), Cozza (25'), Germain (64', 84')
Nordin (62'), Leroy (71')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Montpellier
1-2
Brest
Savanier (90+3' pen.)
Mavididi (32'), Sakho (33')
Satriano (69'), Honorat (79')
Satriano (7'), Herelle (31'), Chardonnet (66'), Brassier (90+1')
Dec 11, 2021 4pm
Brest
0-4
Montpellier

Herelle (62'), Magnetti (84')
Wahi (45+1'), Mavididi (47'), Sambia (60'), Germain (85')
Ferri (89')
May 16, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
0-0
Brest

Mollet (39')

Mounie (42'), Belkebla (50'), Chardonnet (72')
Dec 20, 2020 12pm
Brest
2-2
Montpellier
Philippoteaux (58'), Chardonnet (79')
Chardonnet (45+2'), Herelle (51')
Laborde (45+1'), Delort (82')
Chotard (66')