Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
| 44.41% | 24.36% | 31.22% |
| Both teams to score 58.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% | 44.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% | 66.44% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% | 19.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.85% | 52.15% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% | 26.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% | 62.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% 1-0 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.97% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.22% |