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Ligue 1

Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Montpellier

Troyes
0 - 1
Montpellier

FT(HT: 0-0)
Khazri (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Brest
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawMontpellier HSC
38.77% (0.78 0.78)26.29% (-0.133 -0.13)34.93% (-0.639 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.11% (0.369 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.505 0.51)51.55% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.438 0.44)73.34% (-0.431 -0.43)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.669 0.67)26% (-0.662 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.89 0.89)61.03% (-0.883 -0.88)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.146 -0.15)28.23% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.186 -0.19)63.93% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 38.77%
    Montpellier HSC 34.93%
    Draw 26.29%
TroyesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.93%

How you voted: Troyes vs Montpellier

Troyes
34.0%
Draw
20.0%
Montpellier HSC
46.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Montpellier
3-2
Troyes
Sainte-Luce (3'), Savanier (15', 81')
Makouana (52')
Tardieu (12' pen.), Balde (17')
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Montpellier
0-1
Troyes

Mollet (39'), Souquet (58'), Chotard (66'), Mavididi (68'), Ferri (87')
Savanier (63')
Chavalerin (74')
Biancone (21')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Troyes
1-1
Montpellier
Touzghar (37')
Dingome (44'), Banhie-Zoukrou (71'), Chavalerin (81'), Rodrigues (90+1')
Savanier (87')
Thuler (23'), Ferri (49'), Savanier (51')
Thuler (79')
May 12, 2018 8pm
Montpellier
1-1
Troyes
Cozza (58')
Azamoum (31')
Sep 16, 2017 7pm
Troyes
0-1
Montpellier

Azamoum (40'), Grandsir (71'), Vizcarrondo (76'), Herelle (87')
Vizcarrondo (90')
Mendes (32')
Sambia (19'), Mendes (79'), Lecomte (80')
rhs 2.0


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