Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Wahbi Khazri 90'

Troyes vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
Reims 4 - 0 Troyes
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Mama Balde

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
Montpellier 3 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result

Troyes 38.77% (+0.79)
Draw 26.29% (-0.14)
Montpellier HSC 34.93% (-0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.11% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.45% (+0.51)
Under 2.5 51.55% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 26.66% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 73.34% (-0.44)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5 74% (+0.67)
Under 0.5 26% (-0.67)
Over 1.5 38.97% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 61.03% (-0.89)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 71.77% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 28.23% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 36.07% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 63.93% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Troyes 38.77%
Draw 26.29%
Montpellier HSC 34.93%
Troyes
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.66% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.99% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.27% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-94.20)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-97.40)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.93%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Theo Sainte-Luce 3' goal
  • Teji Savanier 15' goal
  • Beni Makouana 52' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 81' goal
  • goal Florian Tardieu 12'
  • goal Mama Balde 17'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Florent Mollet 39' yellowcard
  • Arnaud Souquet 58' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 63' redcard
  • Joris Chotard 66' yellowcard
  • Stephy Mavididi 68' yellowcard
  • Jordan Ferri 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giulian Biancone 21'
  • goal Xavier Chavalerin 74'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 19, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yoann Touzghar 37' goal
  • Tristan Dingome 44' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Banhie-Zoukrou 71' yellowcard
  • Xavier Chavalerin 81' yellowcard
  • Gerson Rodrigues 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Thuler 23'
  • yellowcard Jordan Ferri 49'
  • yellowcard Teji Savanier 51'
  • redcard Matheus Thuler 79'
  • goal Teji Savanier 87'
Ligue 1
May 12, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)
  • Nicolas Cozza 58' goal
  • goal Karim Azamoum 31'
Ligue 1
Sep 16, 2017 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)
  • Karim Azamoum 40' yellowcard
  • Samuel Grandsir 71' yellowcard
  • Oswaldo Vizcarrondo 76' yellowcard
  • Christophe Herelle 87' yellowcard
  • Oswaldo Vizcarrondo 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Salomon Sambia 19'
  • goal Pedro Mendes 32'
  • yellowcard Pedro Mendes 79'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Lecomte 80'
Ligue 1
Apr 24, 2016 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Jerome Roussillon 13' goal
  • Matthieu Saunier 27' goal
  • Jonas Martin 34' goal
  • Hilton Hilton 41' redcard
  • Souleymane Camara 56' goal
  • goal Stephane Darbion 20'
  • yellowcard Alois Confais 67'
  • yellowcard Rincon 81'