MX23RW : Friday, December 13 10:32:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Reims
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Troyes

Reims
4 - 0
Troyes

Munetsi (10'), Maolida (44'), Balogun (50'), Cajuste (82')
Flips (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Palmer-Brown (43'), Agoume (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Reims
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Troyes 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Reims 2-0 Troyes

Given how poor defensively Troyes have looked in recent games, having to contend with an in-form striker like Balogun is probably the last thing they need right now. Outside of Balogun, Reims have not been particularly sharp in the attacking third, but they look far more comfortable along the backline than ESTAC and should not have much difficulty containing that attacking line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
ReimsDrawTroyes
58.47% (-0.701 -0.7) 22.39% (0.192 0.19) 19.13% (0.506 0.51)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.277 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)46.35% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-0.073 -0.07)68.63% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.259 -0.26)15.53% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (-0.481 -0.48)44.45% (0.478 0.48)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (0.513 0.51)38.18% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (0.492 0.49)74.94% (-0.49499999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Reims 58.46%
    Troyes 19.13%
    Draw 22.39%
ReimsDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.13%

How you voted: Reims vs Troyes

Reims
81.1%
Draw
8.1%
Troyes
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Troyes
2-2
Reims
Odobert (51'), Porozo (90')
Salmier (19')
Balogun (13'), Ito (54')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Troyes
1-0
Reims
Ripart (90+2')
Palmer-Brown (74')

Abdelhamid (9'), Matusiwa (35'), Busi (80')
Matusiwa (54')
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Reims
1-2
Troyes
Abdelhamid (6')
Flips (32'), Gravillon (44'), Matusiwa (86')
Gravillon (90+2')
Balde (41'), Chavalerin (65')
Kabore (9'), Gallon (76')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
Troyes
2-1
Reims
Camus (50'), Nivet (61' pen.)
Thiago (65'), Saunier (87')
Bifouma (64')
Conte (30'), Carrasso (60'), Bifouma (87')
Dec 5, 2015 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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