Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.