Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Alexsandro 85'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+11'

Toulouse vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 2.00pm
Angers 0 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2023 8.00pm
Lille 3 - 3 Lyon
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result

Toulouse 33.56% (+0.01)
Draw 23.11% (-0.07)
Lille 43.33% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.06% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.82% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 37.18% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 40.62% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 59.38% (-0.34)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 77.78% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 22.22% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 44.36% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 55.64% (-0.22)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 82.36% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 17.64% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 51.75% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 48.25% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Toulouse 33.56%
Draw 23.11%
Lille 43.33%
Toulouse
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.67% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.92% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.94% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.11%
Lille
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.13% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.86% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 43.33%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan David 5' goal
  • Adam Ounas 53' goal
  • goal Fares Chaibi 48'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2020 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Pierre Mauroy
  • Loic Remy 2' goal
  • Loic Remy 39' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 40' yellowcard
  • Renato Sanches 72' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Leya Iseka 24'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 89'
  • yellowcard William Vainqueur 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2019 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Wesley Said 14' yellowcard
  • Yaya Sanogo 40' yellowcard
  • Yaya Sanogo 58' goal
  • Max Gradel 66' goal
  • yellowcard Xeka 71'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 73'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Pied 81'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 90'
  • goal Jose Fonte 93'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2019 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)
  • Kalidou Sidibe 23' yellowcard
  • Max Gradel 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 17'
  • yellowcard Boubakary Soumare 53'
  • yellowcard Thiago Mendes 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2018 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)
  • Rafael Leao 17' goal
  • Thiago Mendes 45' yellowcard
  • Kouadio-Yves Dabila 62' yellowcard
  • Thiago Maia 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francois Moubandje 38'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Durmaz 44'
  • goal Max Gradel 50'
  • goal Max Gradel 64'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 70'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Sidibe 88'
Ligue 1
May 6, 2018 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)
  • Corentin Jean 9' goal
  • Christopher Jullien 44' goal
  • Steeve Yago 73' yellowcard
  • Issa Diop 78' yellowcard
  • Francois Moubandje 85' yellowcard
  • Francois Moubandje 90' redcard
  • goal Nicolas Pepe 5'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 23'
  • goal Yves Bissouma 80'
  • goal Nicolas Pepe 82'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pepe 83'