Toulouse
Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Mar 1, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Paul Lignon

Toulouse
6 - 1
Rodez AF

Aboukhlal (5'), van den Boomen (7'), Dallinga (10', 51' pen.), Chaibi (21'), Suazo (38')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Younoussa (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Toulouse and Rodez AF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Reims 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Rodez AF

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Rodez AF 0-2 Bastia
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawRodez AF
63.65% (-0.177 -0.18)20.37% (0.071999999999999 0.07)15.98% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.24% (-0.121 -0.12)42.75% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84% (-0.119 -0.12)65.15% (0.119 0.12)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)12.76% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.96% (-0.182 -0.18)39.04% (0.18 0.18)
Rodez AF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23% (0.058999999999997 0.06)39.76% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56% (0.055 0.05)76.44% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 63.64%
    Rodez AF 15.98%
    Draw 20.37%
ToulouseDrawRodez AF
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.64%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 15.98%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Rodez AF

Toulouse
90.3%
Draw
3.2%
Rodez AF
6.5%
31
Head to Head
May 2, 2022 7.45pm
Rodez AF
1-0
Toulouse
Danger (64' pen.)
Obiang (90+5')

Bangre (87')
Dec 13, 2021 7.45pm
Toulouse
1-1
Rodez AF
Ratao (14')
Ratao (51'), Nicolaisen (69'), Healey (90+3')
Diakite (84' og.)
Danger (36'), Celestine (40'), Bardy (87')
Feb 20, 2021 6pm
Rodez AF
1-0
Toulouse
Bonnet (40')
Boissier (40'), Sanaia (78'), Leborgne (84')

Issouf Bayo (78'), Adli (84'), Moreira (90')
Oct 24, 2020 6pm
Toulouse
3-0
Rodez AF
Dejaegere (13'), Amian (56'), Spierings (90+6' pen.)
Spierings (67'), van den Boomen (90+3')

Ouammou (29'), Alegue Elandi (35')