Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.