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Toulouse
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Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Clermont Foot

Toulouse
0 - 1
Clermont

FT(HT: 0-0)
Khaoui (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 6-1 Rodez AF
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.45pm in Coupe de France

Clermont

All competitions
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawClermont
56.68% (5.185 5.19)22.77% (-1.692 -1.69)20.55% (-3.49 -3.49)
Both teams to score 53.31% (0.808 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97% (3.304 3.3)46.04% (-3.3 -3.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (3.051 3.05)68.34% (-3.046 -3.05)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (3.126 3.13)16.02% (-3.121 -3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63% (5.432 5.43)45.37% (-5.428 -5.43)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (-1.451 -1.45)36.52% (1.456 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (-1.494 -1.49)73.31% (1.496 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 56.68%
    Clermont 20.55%
    Draw 22.77%
ToulouseDrawClermont
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.638 0.64)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.735 0.74)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.933 0.93)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.262 0.26)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.572 0.57)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.652 0.65)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.244 0.24)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.287 0.29)
5-0 @ 1% (0.313 0.31)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 56.68%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.84 -0.84)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.861 -0.86)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-1.141 -1.14)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.658 -0.66)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.718 -0.72)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.291 -0.29)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 20.55%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Clermont

Toulouse
87.5%
Draw
8.3%
Clermont
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 2pm
Clermont
2-0
Toulouse
Gonalons (46'), Cham Saracevic (90+6')
Kyei (19')
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Toulouse
3-2
Clermont
Van den Boomen (5', 50'), Spierings (67' pen.)
Spierings (21'), Dejaegere (53'), Antiste (90+3')
Allevinah (42'), Iglesias (85')
Magnin (23')
Sep 19, 2020 2pm
Clermont
1-1
Toulouse
Issouf Bayo (10' og.)
Magnin (36'), Allevinah (53')
Desmas (42')
Antiste (88')
Antiste (46')
Adli (89')
Oct 25, 2017 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
4-2
Clermont
Francois Moubandje (21'), Sanogo (25'), Gradel (39'), Toivonen (58')
Cahuzac (37')
Dugimont (29'), Dore (31')
Espinosa (5'), Kavdanski (45'), Jeannin (62'), Douline (80')
Kavdanski (62')