Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.