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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg

Marseille
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Mbemba (49'), Sanchez (76' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aholou (88', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
62.07% (0.046999999999997 0.05)21.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)46.3% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (0.072000000000003 0.07)68.59% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (0.039000000000001 0.04)14.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (0.076999999999998 0.08)42.22% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)41.21% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.021999999999998 0.02)77.75% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 62.05%
    Strasbourg 16.53%
    Draw 21.41%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.21% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 62.05%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.53%

How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg

Marseille
93.8%
Draw
2.1%
Strasbourg
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Strasbourg
2-2
Marseille
Mothiba (76'), Gameiro (90+2')
Dieng (8'), Kabore (35')
Dieng (52')
May 21, 2022 8pm
Marseille
4-0
Strasbourg
Gerson (32', 89'), Under (73'), Bakambu (90+2')
Caleta-Car (34'), Gueye (86')

Sissoko (75')
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Strasbourg
0-2
Marseille

Stephan (38'), Ajorque (49'), Nyamsi (71')
Dieng (62'), Caleta-Car (82')
Guendouzi (68')
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Benedetto (86')
Rongier (55'), Lirola (81'), Milik (90+2'), Gueye (90+3')
Mitrovic (73')
Kone (53'), Diallo (85')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Strasbourg
0-1
Marseille
Sanson (72')
Amavi (52'), Kamara (58'), Khaoui (87'), Mandanda (89')