Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg |
62.07% ( 0.05) | 21.41% ( -0.03) | 16.53% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.7% ( 0.08) | 46.3% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.41% ( 0.07) | 68.59% ( -0.07) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% ( 0.04) | 14.36% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.78% ( 0.08) | 42.22% ( -0.08) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.79% ( 0.02) | 41.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.26% ( 0.02) | 77.75% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.05% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |