Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Mar 31, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 1
Montpellier

Guendouzi (44' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nordin (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
61.82%	20.82%	17.36%

Both teams to score 54.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.75%

42.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.35%

64.65%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.86%

13.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.19%

39.8%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.22%

37.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.45%

74.55%

Score Analysis

Marseille 61.82%

Montpellier HSC 17.36%

Draw 20.82%

Marseille	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.22% 1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 6.73% 4-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.25% Total : 61.82%	1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 4.96% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.82%	0-1 @ 4.83% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.57% 1-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.36%