Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Angers had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
40.25% (![]() | 25.79% (![]() | 33.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% (![]() | 49.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% (![]() | 71.56% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% (![]() | 24.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% (![]() | 58.67% (![]() |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% (![]() | 63.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 9.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 30 |
2 | Nice | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Lille | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Brest | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
9 | Metz | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Rennes | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
11 | NantesNantes | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
12 | Marseille | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Toulouse | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
16 | Lorient | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Clermont | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |