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Ligue 1

Reims
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Marseille

Reims
1 - 2
Marseille

Balogun (13')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sanchez (16', 29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Reims
Sunday, March 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Reims had a probability of 26.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Reims win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
ReimsDrawMarseille
26.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)46.78% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)56.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (-0.023 -0.02)77.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21%36.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42%73.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)24.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)58.38% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Reims 26.48%
    Marseille 46.78%
    Draw 26.74%
ReimsDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 26.48%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.78%

How you voted: Reims vs Marseille

Reims
28.4%
Draw
27.0%
Marseille
44.6%
74
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Reims
Faes (13' og.), Tavares (45+1'), Suarez Charris (75', 90+3')
Gigot (59'), Tudor (71')
Balogun (84')
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
Reims
0-1
Marseille

Locko (28')
Gerson (83')
Peres (5')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Reims
Payet (90+7' pen.)
Rongier (28'), Gerson (45'), Payet (85'), Kamara (90+8')
Dieng (85')
Ekitike (75')
Cassama (81'), Abdelhamid (90+3'), Gravillon (90+6')
Gravillon (90+7')
Apr 23, 2021 8pm
Reims
1-3
Marseille
Mbuku (38')
Payet (41', 76'), Milik (45+1')
Faes (29'), Sampaoli (56')
Faes (69')
Dec 19, 2020 6pm
Marseille
1-1
Reims
Thauvin (45')
Nagatomo (25')
Nagatomo (21' og.)
De Smet (19'), Bilal Toure (78'), Cassama (90+2')