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Ligue 1

AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Montpellier

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Montpellier

FT(HT: 0-0)
Wahi (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 5-0 Angers
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawMontpellier HSC
41.1% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)27.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)58.61% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)79.17% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)28.03% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)63.68% (0.106 0.11)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55%34.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.17% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 41.09%
    Montpellier HSC 31%
    Draw 27.9%
AjaccioDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 31%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Montpellier

Ajaccio
20.0%
Draw
15.6%
Montpellier HSC
64.4%
45
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Montpellier
2-0
Ajaccio
Nordin (28'), Wahi (77')

Hamouma (20')
Oct 28, 2014 7pm
Third Round
Montpellier
0-1
Ajaccio
Madri (44')
Abergel (37')
Feb 22, 2014 7pm
Montpellier
2-0
Ajaccio
Mounier (55'), Cabella (90')
Deplagne (76')

Tonucci (82')
> Match Report
Sep 29, 2013 4pm
Ajaccio
1-1
Montpellier
Zubar (36')
Zubar (24'), Popescu (56')
Goncalves (9')
Cabella (10' pen.)
Jebbour (18'), Camara (62')
Jebbour (38')
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Montpellier
Oliech (90'), Delorte (82' pen.)
Mutu (17'), Lasne (73')
Diawara (47')
Mounier (56')
Belhanda (60')
El Kaoutari (81')
> Match Report