/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F28%2Facajlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Ftrolog.png)
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Youcef Belaili
62'
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Mounaim El Idrissy
68'
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Mama Balde
23'
Ajaccio vs Troyes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fac-ajaccio.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
Result
Ajaccio
52.3%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
25.42%
▲
(+0.03)
Troyes
22.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
47.67%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.29%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
54.71%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
23.97%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
76.03%
▲
(+0.08)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5
79.06%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
20.94%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
46.32%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
53.68%
▲
(+0.08)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5
60.3%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
39.7%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
23.62%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
76.38%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Ajaccio
52.29%
Draw
25.41%
Troyes
22.28%
Ajaccio
1-0
@
12.99%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.29%
2-0 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.29%
Draw
1-1
@
12%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.41%
0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.41%
Troyes
0-1
@
7.68%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.28%
Mathieu Coutadeur
66'